Take a look at every president’s net approval rating (approval – disapproval) since the end of World War II. Biden’s at about -9 points net approval rating right now. Specifically, we’ll examine all elected presidents at this point into their first term and compare that to where they stood during their first midterm.
It turns out that among elected presidents there’s actually a pretty clear correlation (+0.83 on a scale of -1 to +1) between their net approval rating at this point and a year from now. Most presidents tended to lose ground from this point forward. The average president saw…
