I HAVE always lamented the fact that Africans are the last people to ever plan for their collective future. In a manner of speaking, the future is already with us through the phenomenon that futurologists term “global megatrends”. These are long-term ubiquitous, structural and often irreversible transformations that shape economies and societies. By their very nature, they have the present and future capacity to “disrupt and reshape the world in which we live in surprising and unexpected ways”. This also means that public policies that normally operate within short-term horizons need to be designed in terms of more long-term, systems-based approaches to cope with structural societal changes. In this sense, long-term perspective planning, including scenario analytics, are often better suited to managing these large-scale transformations than traditional linear-based public policy systems.
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