Naira gasping for survival as dollar scarcity bites harder

Naira gasping for survival as dollar scarcity bites harder

THE NATION

With over $2.5 billion foreign exchange demand backlog yet to be cleared at the official window and $4 billon at the parallel market, dollar scarcity has entered a disturbing phase in Nigeria’s exchange rate management system. The naira, which exchanges at N440/$1 and N758/$1 in the official and parallel markets, respectively, is decimated by diverse factors and policies. From forex restrictions, multiple exchange rates, stoppage of dollar sales to bureaux de change to difficulty in repatriating investors’ funds, forces against the naira have continued to wax stronger. But the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN’s) fight bank options like Race-To-$200 billion (RT200) policy targeting $2 billion to $5 billion non-oil export earnings in three to five years, Naira-4-Dollar scheme which supports diaspora remittances inflows and domiciliary account restriction policies promise to reverse the trend and restore naira dignity. Assistant Business Editor COLLINS NWEZE examines the future of the naira in the face of perennial dollar scarcity and moves to return the local currency to its glorious days.

Wednesday, November 2, was a day that Ismail Abdulrasheed, a Lagos-based currency speculator, will not forget in a hurry. It was the day naira crashed to N900/$1 in the parallel market, giving him one of the biggest fortunes since his 40 years in business. The naira big fall followed initial rush that greeted January 31 deadline set by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) for people to deposit old banknotes into their accounts, in line with the currency redesign timelines.
 Although that naira quickly recovered to N800/$1 within 48 hours, and gradually steadied at N758/$1 at present, the short period of crash was all that Abdulrasheed needed to cash in. Abdulrasheed, who bought the dollars at N700/$ a month earlier, keeps narrating the breakthrough story to his friends and business associates, explaining how it happened.
 “I was preparing for the Suri prayer when I got a WhatsApp message that made me richer. My business partner, Abubakar Idris, had on November 2, 2022, informed me that the naira was exchanging for N900/$ at the parallel market. I hurriedly said my prayer, moved to the vault where I kept $100,000 to confirm it was intact. I then called five of my most trusted aides and gave them $20,000 each to exchange for naira. I made N200 margin on every dollar sold because I bought at N700/$1. That came up to N20 million profit within four hours,” he narrated.
 He said the transactions were concluded within four hours because several manufacturers, importers and other end-users of foreign exchange (forex) in desperate need of funds, quickly purchased all he had, and paid immediately.

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