Mark Halperin: If early vote trend continues, Trump wins

Mark Halperin: If early vote trend continues, Trump wins


BREITBART
Early vote trends in swing states favor of former President Donald Trump and suggest “the election will be over on election day before we know who votes,” political analyst Mark Halperin said Tuesday on The Morning Meeting.

The trends will likely cause the Harris campaign to hit the panic button in the coming days with increased heated rhetoric meant to drive turnout among its supporters.

Halperin, an analyst who attempts to report data without spin, said the early vote in Nevada and North Carolina looks strong for Trump, which is far “more important than the polls right now.” Surveys show Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump virtually tied in all seven battleground states.

In Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, Republicans’ early vote trends look strong:

“We don’t know exactly who’s casting these ballots, how they’re voting, etc. But every analyst I’ve talked to in the last 24 hours, including people who speak publicly, say, ‘If this continues, Donald Trump can’t lose because the Democrats can’t possibly do well enough on election day,’” Halperin explained.

The 2020 election is a difficult benchmark to extrapolate to date, but the data appears to be in favor of Trump, Halperin added:

We don’t know what turnout is going to be like. This is a cycle coming out of the COVID cycle. Lots of things are shaken up, but I’ll say again, two things no one will tell you, no matter how partisan they are, no one will tell you that the early voting data is anything but scary for Democrats so far, and if on election day this trend continues, the election will be over on election day before we know who votes.

“What could be causing democratic underperformance here?” Halperin asked Dan Turrentine, a Democrat show cohost.

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