Hotair
Biden’s numbers against Trump have dropped over time but until recently he was even or slightly ahead in most surveys, a testament to Trump’s enduring unpopularity. A president who’s under 40 percent job approval shouldn’t be competitive in general election polling, but he is when you run him against a twice-impeached conspiracy theorist. Today’s new data from YouGov affirms the point. At a moment when the country is drowning in inflation and Hispanics seem to be shifting rightward at remarkable rates, the presumptive GOP nominee shouldn’t be a *narrow* favorite. Trump is the weakest hand Republicans could play, blowing a golden opportunity to win the popular vote for the first time in 20 years.
But the bottom line from the poll is stark: Biden’s political predicament is so dire that any top-tier Republican can beat him, Trump included. If the general election were held tomorrow, considering how tight the margins were in swing states last time, I’d bet heavily on 45 to beat 46.
The survey of 1,541 U.S. adults, which was conducted from June 10-13, found that if another presidential election were held today, more registered voters say they would cast ballots for Donald Trump (44%) than for Biden (42%) — even though the House Jan. 6 committee has spent the last week linking Trump to what it called a “seditious conspiracy” to overturn the 2020 election and laying the groundwork for possible criminal prosecution…
Biden’s job approval rating has been atrophying for much of the last year, and the new survey shows that it has never been weaker. A full 56% of Americans now disapprove of the president’s performance — the highest share to date — while just 39% approve. Three weeks ago, those numbers were 53% and 42%, respectively…
Among all Americans, Trump (43%) now has a higher personal favorability rating than Biden (40%) as well. Meanwhile, nearly two-thirds of independents (64%) have an unfavorable opinion of Biden, and just 28% say they would vote for him over Trump.
How bad is it? Many more independents say Biden shouldn’t run again (76 percent) than say Trump shouldn’t (57 percent). Among Biden’s own voters in 2020, more say he shouldn’t run again than say he sho…
